Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001733 0.001851 0.001972 0.002108 0.002255 0.002409 0.002585
2024-12-29 0.001538 0.001700 0.001874 0.002078 0.002308 0.002563 0.002865
2025-01-05 0.001408 0.001597 0.001807 0.002060 0.002358 0.002698 0.003119
2025-01-12 0.001295 0.001499 0.001733 0.002021 0.002369 0.002780 0.003304
2025-01-19 0.001214 0.001431 0.001684 0.002004 0.002400 0.002880 0.003509
2025-01-26 0.001115 0.001333 0.001592 0.001925 0.002348 0.002869 0.003572
2025-02-02 0.001091 0.001324 0.001606 0.001977 0.002456 0.003063 0.003901
2025-02-09 0.001063 0.001307 0.001608 0.002011 0.002542 0.003229 0.004202
2025-02-16 0.001060 0.001321 0.001649 0.002095 0.002696 0.003491 0.004645
2025-02-23 0.001022 0.001288 0.001627 0.002094 0.002735 0.003600 0.004881
2025-03-02 0.000963 0.001225 0.001561 0.002032 0.002687 0.003584 0.004937
2025-03-09 0.000916 0.001176 0.001513 0.001991 0.002665 0.003602 0.005042
2025-03-16 0.000880 0.001143 0.001489 0.001986 0.002701 0.003715 0.005310
2025-03-23 0.000840 0.001103 0.001453 0.001965 0.002713 0.003795 0.005536
2025-03-30 0.000806 0.001069 0.001424 0.001951 0.002733 0.003887 0.005786
2025-04-06 0.000767 0.001026 0.001381 0.001914 0.002718 0.003923 0.005949
2025-04-13 0.000738 0.000996 0.001354 0.001898 0.002732 0.004005 0.006188
2025-04-20 0.000693 0.000942 0.001290 0.001825 0.002654 0.003937 0.006174
2025-04-27 0.000687 0.000944 0.001306 0.001873 0.002766 0.004177 0.006696
2025-05-04 0.000677 0.000938 0.001312 0.001905 0.002853 0.004380 0.007170
2025-05-11 0.000680 0.000953 0.001348 0.001983 0.003020 0.004724 0.007922
2025-05-18 0.000662 0.000935 0.001334 0.001983 0.003057 0.004851 0.008288
2025-05-25 0.000630 0.000895 0.001285 0.001925 0.002995 0.004804 0.008321